A quick glance at these new numbers (Clinton/Obama - 54/41 [1]) by American Research Group, you’d think this is pretty bad news for Obama.

But ARG was the one with that shock poll last week that had Hillary leading by 20 (57/37)…only a week after they showed the two tied (45/45).

But instead of looking at the lead, let’s look at the trend from 20 to 13. That’s a significant tightening of 7 points, and that’s good news...