tracking poll

111 Consecutive National Polls

Donklephant  Mon, 11/03/2008 - 3:35pm

That’s one of the numbers I’m hearing today about Obama’s consistent lead.



 

FiveThirtyEight Puts McCain’s Odds At 5.9%

Donklephant  Mon, 10/13/2008 - 8:00am

That’s right. Just a 5.9% chance that McCain will be able to pull this one off.

And what would Obama’s chances be?

Why the shift?

Well, according to FiveThirtyEight’s new numbers, Obama has opened up an even wider electoral lead on McCain…



 

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 5

Donklephant  Thu, 10/09/2008 - 8:44am

Obama - 50%
McCain - 45%

Obama loses one today, and McCain pulls within a margin he had about 10 days ago.



 

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 3

Donklephant  Thu, 09/25/2008 - 10:31am

Obama - 49%
McCain - 46%

McCain drops another point today, and we won’t know what the fallout from him trying to cancel the debate will be yet.



 

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1

Donklephant  Sun, 09/21/2008 - 10:17am

Obama - 48%
McCain - 47%

The numbers stay the same today, as we head into our first debate week!



 

Rasmussen: McCain Up 3, 3

Donklephant  Fri, 09/12/2008 - 10:39am

With leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 49%

Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 48%

Looks like McCain may have received another bounce, as we have 3 and 5 points swings in the numbers.



 

Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 1, Tied

Donklephant  Wed, 09/10/2008 - 9:03am

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 47%

Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 46%

Is the bounce over? The numbers would suggest they are as McCain drops a point in the “with leaners” numbers.



 

Gallup: Obama Leads By 3

Donklephant  Fri, 08/08/2008 - 4:07pm

No movement from Gallup today either.

Expect a lot more of this given that the Olympics have started and Obama is going on vacation.



 

Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 3, 4

Donklephant  Thu, 07/10/2008 - 6:34pm

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 45%

Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 41%

The numbers tell us that McCain gained one in the “with leaners”, but in “without” the gap has stayed the same.